International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
  • Edgaras Dubickas 62' yellowcard
  • Deividas Šešplaukis 62' yellowcard
  • Lukas Michelbrink 62' yellowcard
  • Meinardas Mikulėnas 79' yellowcard
  • Klaudijus Upstas 89' yellowcard
  • Zygimantas Baltrunas 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iva Gelashvili 64'
  • yellowcard Georges Mikautadze 70'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Tsitaishvili 75'
  • yellowcard Nika Gagnidze 75'
  • yellowcard Luka Lochoshvili 75'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 84'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gocholeishvili 85'
  • yellowcard Budu Zivzivadze 85'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kvernadze 85'

Lithuania vs Georgia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 3.00pm
Moldova 0 - 2 Lithuania

Georgia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 2 - 2 Israel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Lithuania 28.07%
Draw 24.69% (-0.03)
Georgia 47.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.24% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.11% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 23.89% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 52.38% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 47.62% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 30.64% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.36% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.72% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.28% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Lithuania 27.95%
Draw 40.56%
Georgia 31.5%

Team To Score First

Lithuania 43.16% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.62% (-0.04)
Georgia 50.22% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 47.75% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.68% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.57% (+0.03)
Over 9 36.74% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.01% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.25% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.17% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 72.83% (+0.04)

Lithuania Goals

Over 1.5 30.32% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.68% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 10.76% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.64% (-0.02)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.29% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.93% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 54.07% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 21.54% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.46% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.19% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.81% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lithuania 28.07%
Draw 24.69%
Georgia 47.24%
Lithuania
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.28% (+0.01)
Total : 28.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 24.69%
Georgia
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.11% (+0.04)
Total : 47.24%