Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Israel had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.