International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 3.00pm
Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Lithuania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moldova win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Lithuania has a probability of 33.76% and a draw has a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Lithuania win is 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.82%).

Result

Moldova 43.63% (+2.11)
Draw 22.65% (-0.14)
Lithuania 33.76% (-1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.17% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 18.83% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 61.2% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 38.8% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 38.78% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 61.22% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 24.5% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 75.5% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Moldova 31.57% (+0.61)
Draw 39.68% (-0.04)
Lithuania 28.75% (-0.56)

Team To Score First

Moldova 53.26% (+1.58)
No Goal 4.91% (-0.09)
Lithuania 41.83% (-1.49)

Corners

Over 8 45.2% (-0.35)
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.18)
Under 8 42.99% (+0.18)
Over 9 34.28% (-0.50)
Equal 9 10.91% (+0.14)
Under 9 54.8% (+0.35)
Over 10.5 24.98% (-0.56)
Under 10.5 75.02% (+0.57)

Moldova Goals

Over 1.5 47.18% (+1.98)
Under 1.5 52.82% (-1.98)
Over 2.5 23.74% (+1.43)
Under 2.5 76.26% (-1.43)
Over 3.5 9.97% (+0.76)
Under 3.5 90.03% (-0.77)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 68.58% (-1.33)
Under 0.5 31.42% (+1.33)
Over 1.5 38.63% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 61.37% (+1.38)
Over 2.5 17.33% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 82.67% (+0.83)
Over 3.5 6.61% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 93.39% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Moldova 43.63%
Draw 22.64%
Lithuania 33.77%
Moldova
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.31)
1-0 @ 7.37% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.84% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.85% (+0.24)
3-0 @ 3.69% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.11)
Other @ 9.65% (+0.75)
Total : 43.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.02)
Total : 22.64%
Lithuania
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.29% (-0.42)
Total : 33.77%