International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadionul Zimbru
  • Daniel Dumbrăvanu 46' yellowcard
  • Teodor Lungu 46' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Fratea 54' yellowcard
  • Sergiu Plătică 55' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Fratea 55' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Boiciuc 60' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Boiciuc 62' yellowcard
  • Victor Stînă 77' yellowcard
  • Mihail Stefan 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Tonica 77' yellowcard
  • goal Justas Lasickas 33'
  • yellowcard Motiejus Burba 46'
  • yellowcard Lukas Michelbrink 46'
  • yellowcard Edgaras Dubickas 60'
  • yellowcard Deividas Šešplaukis 60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • goal Gvidas Gineitis 71'
  • yellowcard Giedrius Matulevičius 76'
  • yellowcard Klaudijus Upstas 76'
  • yellowcard Edvinas Girdvainis 83'
  • yellowcard Artemijus Tutyškinas 83'

Moldova vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Lithuania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Moldova 43.63%
Draw 22.65%
Lithuania 33.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.16% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.84% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 61.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.83% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.25% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.49% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 75.51% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Moldova 31.57%
Draw 39.68%
Lithuania 28.75%

Team To Score First

Moldova 53.26%
No Goal 4.92% (+0.01)
Lithuania 41.82% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.23% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 8 42.95% (-0.06)
Over 9 34.31% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.92% (+0.01)
Under 9 54.77% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 25% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 75% (-0.04)

Moldova Goals

Over 1.5 47.18%
Under 1.5 52.82%
Over 2.5 23.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.97%
Under 3.5 90.03%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 68.57% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.43% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.38% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.32% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.6% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.4% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Moldova 43.64%
Draw 22.65%
Lithuania 33.76%
Moldova
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 9.65%
Total : 43.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.65%
Lithuania
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 6.28% (-0.01)
Total : 33.76%