Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moldova win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Lithuania has a probability of 33.76% and a draw has a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Lithuania win is 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.82%).