/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fkenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Festlog.png)
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Richard Odada
32'
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Job Ochieng
42'
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Ryan Ogam
51'
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Tanel Tammik
21'
Kenya vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Estonia win was 0-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result
Kenya
45.84%
▼
(-1.53)
Draw
24.29%
▲
(+0.06)
Estonia
29.87%
▲
(+1.48)
Both Teams to Score:
55.33%
▲
(+0.77)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.52%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 1.5
22.48%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 2.5
54.96%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
45.04%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
33.24%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
66.76%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 4.5
19.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
80.02%
▲
(+0.07)
First Half Winner
Kenya
35.19%
Draw
41.01%
Estonia
23.81%
Team To Score First
Kenya
55.84%
▲
(+0.15)
No Goal
6.18%
▼
(-0.24)
Estonia
37.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Corners
Over 8
43.6%
Equal 8
10.67%
Under 8
45.72%
Over 9
33.8%
Equal 9
9.8%
Under 9
56.4%
Over 10.5
25.46%
Under 10.5
74.54%
Kenya Goals
Over 1.5
46.11%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 1.5
53.89%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 2.5
22.03%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
77.97%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 3.5
9.04%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
90.96%
▲
(+0.29)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5
64.7%
▲
(+1.72)
Under 0.5
35.3%
▼
(-1.72)
Over 1.5
32.96%
▲
(+1.45)
Under 1.5
67.04%
▼
(-1.44)
Over 2.5
13.15%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 2.5
86.85%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
4.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
95.52%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Kenya
45.85%
Draw
24.3%
Estonia
29.87%
Kenya
1-0
@
9.23%
▼
(-0.50)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.28)
Total : 45.85%
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.45)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.28)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1
@
10.99%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.3%
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.3%
Estonia
0-1
@
7.09%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 29.87%
1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.37)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 29.87%