International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2026 4.00pm
Nyayo National Stadium

Kenya vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 28.37% and a draw has a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Estonia win is 0-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.85%).

Result

Kenya 47.4% (+0.04)
Draw 24.23%
Estonia 28.37% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.53% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 54.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.07% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 66.93% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.07% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.93% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Kenya 35.19%
Draw 41.01%
Estonia 23.81%

Team To Score First

Kenya 55.71% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.4% (-0.01)
Estonia 37.89%

Corners

Over 8 43.36%
Equal 8 10.67% (+0.01)
Under 8 45.97% (-0.01)
Over 9 33.58% (-0.02)
Equal 9 9.78% (+0.01)
Under 9 56.64%
Over 10.5 25.28% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 74.72% (+0.02)

Kenya Goals

Over 1.5 46.95% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.05% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 22.64% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.36% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.34% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.66% (-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.02% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.51%
Under 1.5 68.49%
Over 2.5 12.59%
Under 2.5 87.41%
Over 3.5 4.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kenya 47.41%
Draw 24.22%
Estonia 28.36%
Kenya
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.09% (+0.02)
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
Estonia
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.14% (+0.01)
Total : 28.36%