Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Hristo Botev

Bulgaria vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 31.68% and a draw has a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Estonia win is 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).

Result

Bulgaria 43.4% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 24.95% ▼ (-0.23)
Estonia 31.68% ▲ (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.31% ▲ (+1.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.72% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 27.28% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 48.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 51.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 74.02% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.89% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 85.11% ▲ (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Bulgaria 30.21% ▲ (+0.93)
Draw 45.42% ▲ (+2.78)
Estonia 24.37% ▼ (-3.70)

Team To Score First

Bulgaria 44.71% ▲ (+0.76)
No Goal 8.14% ▼ (-0.86)
Estonia 47.15% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 39.25% ▼ (-1.97)
Equal 8 10.94% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 8 49.81% ▲ (+2.08)
Over 9 29.6% ▼ (-1.70)
Equal 9 9.65% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 9 60.75% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 10.5 21.69% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 10.5 78.31% ▲ (+1.36)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 1.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 60.15% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 17.56% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 82.44% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 3.5 5.98% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 94.02% ▲ (+0.46)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 63.92% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 0.5 36.08% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 1.5 31.05% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 1.5 68.95% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 2.5 11.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.77% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 96.23% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Bulgaria 43.4%
Draw 24.95%
Estonia 31.68%
Bulgaria
1-0 @ 10.75% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.49)
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% ▲ (+0.59)
0-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.86)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.95%
Estonia
0-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.58)
0-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 31.68%