Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).