Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bulgaria win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Moldova has a probability of 29.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Moldova win is 1-0 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).