/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
-
Petru Popescu
16'
-
Teodor Lungu
43'
-
Victor Bogaciuc
60'
-
Dan Pușcaș
71'
-
Vladyslav Baboglo
85'
-
Georgi Rusev
23'
-
Dimitar Velkovski
49'
-
Aleksandar Dimitrov
70'
-
Marin Petkov
76'
Moldova vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result
Moldova
29.67%
▲
(+0.62)
Draw
25.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Bulgaria
45.01%
▼
(-0.68)
Both Teams to Score:
52.55%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
25.62%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
51.4%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
48.6%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 3.5
29.44%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
70.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
17.01%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
82.99%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Moldova
25.55%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
38.65%
▼
(-0.25)
Bulgaria
35.8%
▲
(+0.09)
Team To Score First
Moldova
42.96%
▲
(+0.75)
No Goal
7.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Bulgaria
49.33%
▼
(-0.79)
Corners
Over 8
48%
▲
(+1.64)
Equal 8
11.85%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 8
40.15%
▼
(-1.72)
Over 9
36.81%
▲
(+1.43)
Equal 9
11.19%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 9
52%
▼
(-1.64)
Over 10.5
27.07%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 10.5
72.93%
▼
(-1.12)
Moldova Goals
Over 1.5
31.02%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
68.98%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 2.5
11.95%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
88.05%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
3.69%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
96.31%
▼
(-0.21)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
74.44%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
25.56%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
43.61%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
56.39%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 2.5
20.06%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
79.94%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
7.51%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
92.49%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Moldova
29.66%
Draw
25.3%
Bulgaria
45%
Moldova
1-0
@
7.75%
▲
(+0.17)
2-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 29.66%
2-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 29.66%
Draw
1-1
@
11.11%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 25.3%
0-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 25.3%
Bulgaria
0-1
@
10.12%
▼
(-0.16)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 45%
1-2 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 45%