International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2026 6.00pm
Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Bulgaria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 1, 2026 5.00pm
Bulgaria 0 - 1 Montenegro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bulgaria win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Moldova has a probability of 29.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Moldova win is 1-0 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Moldova 29.11% (-0.54)
Draw 25.3% (+0.24)
Bulgaria 45.59% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.29% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.35% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 25.65% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 51.08% (+1.11)
Under 2.5 48.92% (-1.11)
Over 3.5 29.31% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 70.69% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Moldova 25.41% (+0.06)
Draw 38.9% (-0.65)
Bulgaria 35.69% (+0.60)

Team To Score First

Moldova 42.26% (-2.03)
No Goal 7.73% (-0.18)
Bulgaria 50.01% (+2.20)

Corners

Over 8 46.81% (+3.52)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.52)
Under 8 41.37% (-4.04)
Over 9 35.76% (+2.76)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.76)
Under 9 53.19% (-3.52)
Over 10.5 26.22% (+1.91)
Under 10.5 73.78% (-1.91)

Moldova Goals

Over 1.5 30.52% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 69.48% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 11.46% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 88.54% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.47% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.53% (+0.05)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5 74.82% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 25.18% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 43.81% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 56.19% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 20.25% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 79.75% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 7.53% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 92.47% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Moldova 29.1%
Draw 25.3%
Bulgaria 45.58%
Moldova
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 6.71% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.97% (+0.44)
Other @ 3.33% (-0.17)
Total : 29.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.13)
Total : 25.3%
Bulgaria
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.72% (+0.42)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.37% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.19)
Other @ 7.39% (+0.13)
Total : 45.58%