Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de Luxembourg

Luxembourg vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Iceland has a probability of 33.92% and a draw has a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Iceland win is 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Luxembourg 39.11% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 26.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Iceland 33.92% ▼ (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.99% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.5% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 27.5% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 48.44% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 51.56% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 27.61% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 3.5 72.39% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 4.5 15.71% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 84.29% ▼ (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Luxembourg 27.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 46.52% ▼ (-0.18)
Iceland 26.11% ▲ (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Luxembourg 45.39% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 8.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Iceland 46.3% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 39.88% ▼ (-0.28)
Equal 8 12.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 47.67% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 28.89% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 10.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 60.12% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 10.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 80.02% ▲ (+0.13)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 1.5 37.76% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 62.24% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 16.31% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 83.69% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 5.63% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 94.37% ▼ (-0.18)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 13.22% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 86.78% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.59% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 39.11%
Draw 26.98%
Iceland 33.91%
Luxembourg
1-0 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 39.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.98%
Iceland
0-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Laugardalsvollur
  • Orri Oskarsson 23' goal
  • Sverrir Ingi Ingason 66' yellowcard
  • Kolbeinn Finnsson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enes Mahmutovic 20'
  • yellowcard Alessio Curci 44'
  • goal Gerson Rodrigues 46'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 90'+4'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Maxime Chanot 9' goal
  • Enes Mahmutovic 13' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 15' yellowcard
  • Yvandro Borges Sanches 70' goal
  • Danel Sinani 89' goal
  • yellowcard Hordur Magnusson 39'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 56'
  • redcard Hordur Magnusson 73'
  • yellowcard Isak Bergmann Johannesson 85'
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 88'