Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.