Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Arthur Cabral 46' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 50' goal
  • Jordan Barrera 63' yellowcard
  • Mateo Ponte 63' yellowcard
  • Jhoan Hernández 70' yellowcard
  • Kadir Barría 80' yellowcard
  • goal Wilfred Correa 43'
  • yellowcard Adrián Fernández 56'
  • yellowcard Chris Martinez 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Uribe 75'
  • yellowcard Lucciano Reinoso 75'
  • yellowcard Francisco La Mantía 84'

Botafogo vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Caracas

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.12% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Botafogo 52.1%
Draw 25.12%
Caracas 22.78% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.71% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.92% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.08% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 47.84% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.16% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.95% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 74.05% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.56% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.44% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Botafogo 37.41% (-0.04)
Draw 41.29% (-0.01)
Caracas 21.3% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Botafogo 57.9% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.75% (-0.02)
Caracas 34.35% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.64% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.03)
Under 8 37.49% (+0.18)
Over 9 39.2% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.01)
Under 9 49.36% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 29.06% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 70.94% (+0.21)

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 47% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 53% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 21.42% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.58% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.05)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 57.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.83% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.62% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.38% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.18% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.82% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.79% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.21% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Botafogo 52.09%
Draw 25.12%
Caracas 22.78%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 7.96% (+0.04)
Total : 52.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 25.12%
Caracas
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.72% (+0.02)
Total : 22.78%