Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.