Copa Sudamericana
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Carlos Melgar 63' goal
  • goal Robert Arboleda 23'
  • yellowcard Iago 50'
  • yellowcard Aurélio Buta 90'+6'

Bolivar vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.49% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Bolivar 62.17% (-0.04)
Draw 20.49% (-0.02)
Sao Paulo 17.34% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.81% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.19% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 59.5%
Under 2.5 40.5%
Over 3.5 36.98% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 63.02% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 24.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 75.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Bolivar 47.73% (-0.02)
Draw 36.29% (-0.04)
Sao Paulo 15.97% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bolivar 68.06% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.02% (-0.03)
Sao Paulo 26.92% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 65.15% (+0.08)
Equal 8 9.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.07% (-0.06)
Over 9 54.6% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.55%
Under 9 34.85% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 44.09% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 55.91% (-0.08)

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 60.3% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 39.7% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 34.61% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.39% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 17.1% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 82.9% (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 51.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.2% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 7.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.68% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.01%
Under 3.5 97.99%

Score analysis

Bolivar 62.17%
Draw 20.48%
Sao Paulo 17.33%
Bolivar
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.27% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 16.78%
Total : 62.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38%
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.32% (-0.02)
Total : 20.48%
Sao Paulo
1-2 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Total : 17.33%