Europa League
Mar 19, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • John McGinn 54' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 56' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 74' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 74' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 84' yellowcard
  • Harvey Elliott 84' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 85' goal
  • yellowcard Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 66'
  • yellowcard Noah Edjouma 67'
  • yellowcard Matías Fernández-Pardo 67'
  • yellowcard Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 67'
  • yellowcard Aïssa Mandi 73'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 81'

Aston Villa vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lille 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Lille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
Lille 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 43.04%
Draw 24.2%
Lille 32.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.21% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.28% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.72% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 55.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.99% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.01% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.28% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.72% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 30.2%
Draw 41.93%
Lille 27.87%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 46.07%
No Goal 5.83%
Lille 48.1%

Corners

Over 8 52.15%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 36.17%
Over 9 40.76%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 47.86%
Over 10.5 30.53%
Under 10.5 69.47%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 44.67%
Under 1.5 55.33%
Over 2.5 21.24%
Under 2.5 78.76%
Over 3.5 8.59%
Under 3.5 91.41%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 67.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.25% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.77% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 43.04%
Draw 24.2%
Lille 32.75%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 8.37%
Total : 43.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.2%
Lille
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 4.55% (+0.01)
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 12, 2026 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Fernández-Pardo 52' yellowcard
  • Félix Correia 66' yellowcard
  • Thomas Meunier 66' yellowcard
  • Soriba Diaoune 83' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 61'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 77'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 78'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 83'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 83'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 90'
Conference League
Apr 18, 2024 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
ET Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Yusuf Yazici 15' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 22' yellowcard
  • Nabil Bentaleb 42' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 43' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 61' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 67' goal
  • Angel Gomes 117' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 21'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 39'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 61'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 76'
  • goal Matty Cash 87'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 109'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 122'
Conference League
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 13' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 56' goal
  • Youri Tielemans 77' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 45'+1'
  • goal Bafode Diakite 84'

Build-up

News