Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Santa Fe and Arsenal Sarandi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Fe | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 36.31% | 28.32% | 35.37% |
| Both teams to score 46.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Santa Fe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% | 31.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% | 67.62% |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% | 31.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% | 68.32% |
| Score Analysis |
Santa Fe 36.3%
Arsenal Sarandi 35.36%
Draw 28.32%
| Santa Fe | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.36% |


