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Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Spezia Calcio

Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')

Preview: AC Milan vs. Spezia Calcio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio, including predictions and team news.

AC Milan have enjoyed an excellent start to the season, winning both of their opening two Serie A games and advancing through Europa League qualifying.

They take on newly-promoted Spezia Calcio at San Siro and will expect to keep that momentum going with another victory.


Match preview

AC Milan's Gianluigi Donnarumma pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Milan have been comfortable winners in their first two Serie A outings of the season, beating both Bologna and newly-promoted Crotone by 2-0 scorelines.

They've done so whilst juggling Europa League qualifying duties after finishing sixth last season and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-2 before a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Rio Ave to get them into the group stages.

Milan have finished sixth in three of the last four seasons - finishing fifth the other year - and have not been able to break back into the Champions League spots since the 2012-13 season, despite their best efforts.

The last seven seasons have been disappointing for a club of Milan's stature, but their strong start this year may give the Rossoneri hope that this campaign will be the beginning of their revival.

And they will feel confident of maintaining that strong start as they take on a second newly-promoted side in as many league games in the form of Spezia.

Spezia were soundly beaten 4-1 by Sassuolo in their opening game, but bounced back to claim a 2-0 victory over Udinese despite being reduced to 10 men at 1-0.

However, they face their toughest challenge yet, going up against an in-form Milan side at San Siro - a daunting prospect.

They will hope that Milan's Europa League exertions have taken their toll and will allow them to spring a surprise.

AC Milan Serie A form: WW
AC Milan form (all competitions): WWWWW

Spezia Calcio Serie A form: LW


Team News

AC Milan manager Stefano Pioli pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Milan manager Stefano Pioli has several injuries to contend with in his squad as he prepares for the visit of Spezia.

Ante Rebic, Andrea Conti and Mateo Musacchio are all out and are set to return later this month.

Meanwhile, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Leo Duarte and Alessio Romagnoli are all doubts and Pioli must wait to see if they are fit enough to feature.

Spezia boss Vincenzo Italiano has similar selection problems to deal with ahead of Sunday's trip to Milan.

Federico Mattiello is out with a calf problem, while Elio Capradossi is sidelined until next year with a knee injury.

Ardian Ismajli, Jeroen Zoet and Giuseppe Mastinu are all doubts, while Claudio Terzi is suspended.

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Calabria, Kjaer, Gabbia, Hernandez; Kessie, Bennacer; Castillejo, Calhanoglu, Saelemaekers; Maldini

Spezia Calcio possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Ferrer, Erlic, Chabot, Ramos; Deiola, Ricci, Maggiore; Verde, Galabinov, Gyasi


SM words green background

We say: AC Milan 2-0 Spezia Calcio

AC Milan have cruised to victory in each of their first two games and should have no trouble brushing newly-promoted Spezia aside at home.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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