Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.