Australian A-League
May 16, 2025 10.35am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Michael Ruhs 12' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bozinovski 28' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 86' yellowcard
  • goal German Ferreyra 16'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 54'
  • yellowcard Zane Schreiber 58'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 72'
  • yellowcard German Ferreyra 82'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 89'

Western United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 9, 2025 10.35am
Western Utd 3 - 2 Adelaide United
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 3, 2025 8.00am
Melbourne City 5 - 1 Sydney FC
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.51%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Western United 34.77% (+8.80)
Draw 23.02% (+1.26)
Melbourne City 42.21% (-10.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.79% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.62% (-1.09)
Under 2.5 36.38% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 41.49% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 58.51% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 23.35% (-1.00)
Under 4.5 76.65% (+0.99)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 78.8% (+4.77)
Under 0.5 21.2% (-4.77)
Over 1.5 45.91% (+6.90)
Under 1.5 54.09% (-6.90)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 82.23% (-4.03)
Under 0.5 17.77% (+4.03)
Over 1.5 51.52% (-7.46)
Under 1.5 48.47% (+7.45)

Score analysis

Western United 34.77%
Draw 23.01%
Melbourne City 42.21%
Western United
2-1 @ 7.83% (+1.40)
1-0 @ 5.85% (+1.04)
2-0 @ 4.53% (+1.29)
3-1 @ 4.05% (+1.16)
3-2 @ 3.5% (+0.63)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.89)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-96.03)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-95.45)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 34.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% (+0.54)
2-2 @ 6.76% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 3.77% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 2.01% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.01%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.76)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.58)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-1.41)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-1.25)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.34)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-1.42)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.95)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.42)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.91)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 42.21%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2025 7.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Zane Schreiber -5' yellowcard
  • Harry Politidis 32' goal
  • Steven Ugarkovic 41' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 59' goal
  • Zane Schreiber 63' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Dunbar 90' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Dunbar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 41'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bozinovski 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2024 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Whitten Oval
  • Abel Walatee 77' yellowcard
  • John Aloisi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 49'
  • yellowcard Zane Schreiber 62'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 66'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 8.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Jamie MacLaren 19' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Donachie 66'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2024 6.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Michael Ruhs 13' goal
  • Michael Ruhs 13' goal
  • Steven Lustica 50' yellowcard
  • Steven Lustica 50' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 82' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 82' yellowcard
  • goal Hamza Sakhi 52'
  • goal Hamza Sakhi 52'
  • goal Terry Antonis 83'
  • goal Terry Antonis 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 7.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Tolgay Arslan 62' goal
  • Hamza Sakhi 73' yellowcard
  • Callum Talbot 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 5'
  • yellowcard Daniel Penha 53'
  • goal Lachlan Wales 60'
  • goal Noah Botic 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Whitten Oval
  • Dylan Pierias 38' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 13'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 66'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 74'