Australian A-League | Gameweek 29

May 3, 2025 at 8am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
5 - 1
Sydney FC

Behich (5'), Caputo (26'), Tilio (34'), Kuen (57'), Memeti (90+5')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Klimala (66')
Popovic (36'), Ouahim (54'), Klimala (55'), Grant (70')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, April 26 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, April 27 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
54.59% ( -1.16)	22.3% ( 0.22)	23.11% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18% (

0.09)

40.82% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79% (

0.09)

63.21% (

-0.09)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.08% (

-0.34)

14.91% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.7% (

-0.66)

43.29% (

0.66)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

0.87)

31.2% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

1.01)

67.54% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 54.59%

Sydney FC 23.11%

Draw 22.3%

Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.59%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.11%