Australian A-League | Gameweek 28

Apr 26, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
0 - 0
Adelaide United

Trewin (39'), Ferreyra (50')

Alagich (15'), Clough (60'), Sanchez (80')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 19 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 22 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.87%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.09% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
61.87% ( 0.09)	19.04% ( 0.01)	19.09% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 64.18% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.3% (

-0.22)

30.7% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.97% (

-0.26)

52.02% (

0.26)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.34% (

-0.04)

9.66% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.76% (

-0.1)

32.24% (

0.1)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.22)

28.96% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.28)

64.85% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 61.87%

Adelaide United 19.09%

Draw 19.04%

Melbourne City	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.87% Total : 61.87%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.04%	1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 19.09%