Australian A-League Gameweek 28
Apr 26, 2025 10.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Kai Trewin 39' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Alagich 15'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 60'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 80'

Melbourne City vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 10.35am
Western Sydney 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 22, 2025 10.00am
Brisbane Roar 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Archie Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.87%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.09% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 61.87% (+0.09)
Draw 19.04% (+0.02)
Adelaide United 19.09% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.18% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.3% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 30.7% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 47.97% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 52.02% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 28.9% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 71.09% (+0.24)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 90.34% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 9.66% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 67.76% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 32.24% (+0.11)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 28.96% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 35.15% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 64.85% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 61.87%
Draw 19.04%
Adelaide United 19.09%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.54% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.95% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.48% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 61.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.1% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.8% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.04%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 19.09%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 7, 2025 8.35am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Stefan Mauk 14' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 52' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 50'
  • yellowcard German Ferreyra 57'
  • yellowcard Marco Tilio 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 25, 2024 8.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Terry Antonis 5' goal
  • Terry Antonis 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Tunnicliffe 35'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 79'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovanovic 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 8.00am
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Nestory Irankunda 14' goal
  • Isaias Sanchez 18' yellowcard
  • Callum Talbot 29' goal
  • Panashe Madanha 47' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 75' goal
  • Musa Toure 81' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 88' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 49'
  • yellowcard Leo Natel 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2023 8.45am
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Lachlan Barr 45'+3' goal
  • Craig Goodwin 50' goal
  • Louis D'Arrigo 57' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 85' goal
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 9'
  • goal Marco Tilio 62'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 29, 2023 4.00am
3
3
HT : 1 3
FT AAMI Park
  • Thomas Lam 12' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 52' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 90'+2' goal
  • goal George Blackwood 1'
  • goal Ryan Kitto 17'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 43'
Australian A-League
May 22, 2022 5.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Andrew Nabbout 17' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 34' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 74' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 92' goal
  • Marco Tilio 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kusini Yengi 7'
  • goal Zach Clough 48'
  • yellowcard Juande 80'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Oliveira 116'