Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 29.16% ( | 21.54% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.38% ( | 31.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( | 22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( | 55.31% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( | 13.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( | 40.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-3 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.3% |