Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.