Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.