Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 17, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Western Utd

Klein (2'), Berenguer (24')
Klein (27'), Abubakar (79'), Shour (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ibusuki (45')
Donachie (79')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Friday, April 11 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 13 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Western United
28.28% ( 2.86)	20.79% ( 0.73)	50.92% ( -3.59)

Both teams to score 69.76% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.5% (

-1.12)

28.5% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.64% (

-1.4)

49.36% (

1.4)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

1.15)

20.91% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.37% (

1.77)

53.63% (

-1.77)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

-1.35)

11.79% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63% (

-2.96)

37% (

2.96)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 28.28%

Western United 50.92%

Draw 20.79%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.51) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.19) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.28%	1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.79%	1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.36) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.27) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.92%