Australian A-League | Gameweek 28

Apr 27, 2025 at 8am UK

Simonds Stadium

Western Utd
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Grimaldi (4')
Garuccio (28'), Danzaki (45+1'), Lauton (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Popovic (77'), Kamijo (86'), Reilly Shaw (87')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Western Utd
Thursday, April 17 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, April 20 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Sydney FC
31.77% ( 0.52)	22.52% ( 0.07)	45.7% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 65.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.02% (

-0.07)

34.98% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.03% (

-0.08)

56.96% (

0.08)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

0.26)

22.15% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

0.39)

55.54% (

-0.39)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

-0.24)

15.86% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

-0.44)

45.06% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Western United 31.77%

Sydney FC 45.7%

Draw 22.52%

Western United	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 31.77%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.7%