Australian A-League | Gameweek 29

May 3, 2025 at 9am UK

Simonds Stadium

Western Utd
4 - 2
Auckland FC

Ruhs (18'), Botic (23'), Thurgate (49'), Lavale (90+6')
Ruhs (57'), Thurgate (74'), Walatee (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Moreno (62'), Randall (90+4')
De Vries (30')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, April 27 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Auckland FC

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 27 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Auckland FC
38.74% ( -1.41)	25.73% ( 0.66)	35.54% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

-2.84)

49.03% (

2.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

-2.63)

71.11% (

2.62)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

-2)

24.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

-2.86)

59.47% (

2.86)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.91)

26.66% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-1.21)

61.9% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Western United 38.74%

Auckland FC 35.54%

Draw 25.72%

Western United	Draw	Auckland FC
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.54%