Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League
May 9, 2025 at 10.35am UK
GMHBA Stadium
Adelaide United

Western Utd
3 - 2
Adelaide United

Vriends (20' og.), Botic (31', 62')
Leonard (34'), Danzaki (73'), Ibusuki (89'), Najjarine (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jovanovic (3'), Mauk (79')
Mauk (63'), Kikianis (86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 4-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, May 3 at 9am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, April 26 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.55%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
36.99% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)22.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)40.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 67.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)54.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)18.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Western United 36.99%
    Adelaide United 40.63%
    Draw 22.38%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36.99%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 40.63%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 6am
Gameweek 20
Western Utd
3-0
Adelaide United
Botic (26'), Ibusuki (59' pen.), Danzaki (88')
Bozinovski (30'), Ruhs (90+1')

Vriends (32'), Mauk (64')
Nov 9, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 4
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Leonard (32' og.), Clough (71')
Vidmar (10')
Apr 16, 2024 10am
Gameweek 13
Western Utd
3-3
Adelaide United
Grimaldi (19'), Donachie (34'), O'Toole (90+4')
Donachie (3'), O'Toole (45+6'), Pasquali (73'), Najdovski (88')
Ibusuki (45+7' pen., 57'), Irankunda (62')
Mauk (72'), Irankunda (84'), Halloran (90+4')
Mar 29, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 22
Adelaide United
4-1
Western Utd
Irankunda (19', 46', 48'), Clough (80' pen.)
Irankunda (58'), Van Der Saag (60'), Lopez (90+1')
Ruhs (50')
Risdon (40'), Ruhs (58'), Thurgate (70'), Danzaki (90+4')
Imai (90+2')
Nov 26, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
1-3
Adelaide United
Wales (53')
Lustica (49')
Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')