Australian A-League
May 9, 2025 10.35am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT GMHBA Stadium
  • Bart Vriends 20' goal
  • Noah Botic 31' goal
  • Dylan Leonard 34' yellowcard
  • Noah Botic 62' goal
  • Riku Danzaki 73' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 89' yellowcard
  • Ramy Najjarine 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 3'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 63'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 79'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 86'

Western United vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 3, 2025 9.00am
Western Utd 4 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 26, 2025 10.35am
Melbourne City 0 - 0 Adelaide United
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Archie Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.55%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Western United 36.99% (+0.01)
Draw 22.38% (+0.01)
Adelaide United 40.63% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.3% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 32.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 45.62% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 54.38% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 26.83% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.17% (-0.01)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 81.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.66% (-0.01)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 83.1% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.9%
Over 1.5 53.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.95% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Western United 36.99%
Draw 22.38%
Adelaide United 40.63%
Western United
2-1 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 36.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.38%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 40.63%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Feb 23, 2025 6.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Noah Botic 26' goal
  • Noah Botic 26' goal
  • Rhys Bozinovski 30' yellowcard
  • Rhys Bozinovski 30' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 59' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 59' goal
  • Riku Danzaki 88' goal
  • Riku Danzaki 88' goal
  • Michael Ruhs 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Michael Ruhs 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bart Vriends 32'
  • yellowcard Bart Vriends 32'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 64'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 9, 2024 8.35am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Dylan Leonard 32' goal
  • Dylan Leonard 32' goal
  • Zach Clough 71' goal
  • goal Kane Vidmar 10'
  • goal Kane Vidmar 10'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Apr 16, 2024 10.00am
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT GMHBA Stadium
  • James Donachie 3' yellowcard
  • Matthew Grimaldi 19' goal
  • James Donachie 34' goal
  • Connor O'Toole 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Pasquali 73' yellowcard
  • Jake Najdovski 88' yellowcard
  • Connor O'Toole 90'+4' goal
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 45'+7'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 57'
  • goal Nestory Irankunda 62'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 72'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 84'
  • yellowcard Ben Halloran 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2024 8.45am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Nestory Irankunda 19' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 46' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 48' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 58' yellowcard
  • Harry Van Der Saag 60' yellowcard
  • Zach Clough 80' goal
  • Javi Lopez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 40'
  • goal Michael Ruhs 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 58'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 70'
  • redcard Tomoki Imai 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Riku Danzaki 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
  • Steven Lustica 49' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Wales 53' goal
  • goal Ben Halloran 30'
  • goal Alexandar Popovic 56'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Luke Duzel 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • goal Connor Pain 44'