Australian A-League
May 17, 2025 10.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Lachlan Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 60'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 64'

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 10, 2025 10.35am
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 3, 2025 9.00am
Western Utd 4 - 2 Auckland FC
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 46.88% (+0.10)
Draw 24.12% (+0.06)
Auckland FC 28.99% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

58% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.88% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 44.12% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 33.5% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 66.5% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 17.16% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 82.84% (+0.27)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 81.03% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 18.96% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 49.51% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 50.49% (+0.18)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.58% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 28.42% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 35.83% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 64.17% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 46.88%
Draw 24.12%
Auckland FC 28.99%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.12%
Auckland FC
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 28.99%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 19, 2025 8.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • goal Louis Verstraete 53'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sakai 79'
  • goal Guillermo May 89'
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Louis Verstraete 66' yellowcard