Australian A-League
Western Sydney
May 10, 2025 10.35am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Zac Sapsford 23' goal
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 4'
  • goal Kasey Bos 7'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 84'

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 3, 2025 10.35am
Macarthur 1 - 3 Western Sydney
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Nicolas Milanovic

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 4, 2025 8.00am
Victory 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 27.6% ▼ (-0.73)
Draw 21.34% ▲ (+0.22)
Melbourne Victory 51.05% ▲ (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.03% ▼ (-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.21% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 2.5 31.79% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 3.5 46.68% ▼ (-1.94)
Under 3.5 53.31% ▲ (+1.94)
Over 4.5 27.76% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 4.5 72.24% ▲ (+1.72)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 76.96% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 0.5 23.03% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 1.5 43.15% ▼ (-1.93)
Under 1.5 56.85% ▲ (+1.93)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 87.1% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 12.9% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 60.68% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 1.5 39.32% ▲ (+0.86)

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 27.6%
Draw 21.34%
Melbourne Victory 51.05%
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.26)
3-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.34%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.36)
0-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.44)
2-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 51.05%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Western Sydney
Mar 15, 2025 8.30am
4
2
HT : 2 4
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Bozhidar Kraev 16' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 16' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 44' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 44' goal
  • Brandon Borrello 76' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 87' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 88' yellowcard
  • Marcus Antonsson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 34'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 34'
  • goal Reno Piscopo 41'
  • goal Reno Piscopo 41'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Victory
Jan 4, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Roderick Miranda 29' goal
  • Jordi Valadon 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Teague 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 33'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 41'
  • goal Aydan Hammond 45'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 76'
  • yellowcard Alexander Badolato 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Milanovic 90'
  • yellowcard Jesse Cameron 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Victory
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Zinedine Machach 4' goal
  • Chris Ikonomidis 7' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 15' goal
  • Connor Chapman 17' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 55' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 19'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 20'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 45'+3'
  • goal Aydan Hammond 73'
  • goal Oscar Priestman 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
Dec 10, 2023 6.00am
3
4
HT : 0 4
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Western Sydney
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Brandon Borrello 45'+1' goal
  • Amor Layouni 81' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 56'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Victory
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
Western Sydney
  • goal Tomislav Mrcela 41'

Form Data

Macarthur 1 - 3 Western Sydney
Newcastle Jets 0 - 1 Western Sydney
Western Sydney 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Western Sydney 2 - 0 Western Utd
Auckland FC 1 - 1 Western Sydney
Wellington 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Victory 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Macarthur 1 - 2 Victory
Victory 0 - 2 Auckland FC
Wellington 2 - 3 Victory
Victory 5 - 3 Adelaide United
Western Sydney 4 - 2 Victory