Australian A-League
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-
Aziz Behich
20'
-
Aziz Behich
72'
-
Mathew Leckie
87'
-
Noah Botic
66'
-
Ben Garuccio
72'
Melbourne City vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Melbourne City
73.07%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
15.91%
▼
(-0.06)
Western United
11.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
54.27%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.56%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
33.44%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
44.77%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
55.23%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
26.1%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
73.9%
▼
(-0.16)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5
92.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
7.9%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
72.04%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
27.96%
▼
(-0.16)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5
58.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
41.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
22.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
77.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Melbourne City
73.07%
Draw
15.91%
Western United
11.01%
Melbourne City
2-0
@
10.45%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 73.07%
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 73.07%
Draw
1-1
@
7.33%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.91%
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.91%
Western United
1-2
@
3.26%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.01%
0-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.01%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
-
Michael Ruhs
12'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
28'
-
Angus Thurgate
86'
-
German Ferreyra
16'
-
Yonatan Cohen
54'
-
Zane Schreiber
58'
-
Mathew Leckie
72'
-
German Ferreyra
82'
-
Steven Ugarkovic
89'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
Zane Schreiber
-5'
-
Harry Politidis
32'
-
Steven Ugarkovic
41'
-
Benjamin Mazzeo
59'
-
Zane Schreiber
63'
-
Samuel Souprayen
84'
-
Benjamin Dunbar
90'
-
Benjamin Dunbar
90'
-
Angus Thurgate
41'
-
Rhys Bozinovski
90'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
3
-
Abel Walatee
77'
-
John Aloisi
87'
-
Andrew Nabbout
49'
-
Zane Schreiber
62'
-
Nathaniel Atkinson
66'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
26
-
Jamie MacLaren
19'
-
Mathew Leckie
28'
-
James Donachie
66'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
11
-
Michael Ruhs
13'
-
Michael Ruhs
13'
-
Steven Lustica
50'
-
Steven Lustica
50'
-
Angus Thurgate
82'
-
Angus Thurgate
82'
-
Hamza Sakhi
52'
-
Hamza Sakhi
52'
-
Terry Antonis
83'
-
Terry Antonis
83'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
1
-
Tolgay Arslan
62'
-
Hamza Sakhi
73'
-
Callum Talbot
90'+4'
-
Josh Risdon
5'
-
Daniel Penha
53'
-
Lachlan Wales
60'
-
Noah Botic
87'