Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 24, 2025 at 10.35am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Western Utd

(Melbourne City win 4-1 on aggregate)

Behich (20')
Behich (72'), Leckie (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Botic (66')
Garuccio (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
73.07% ( 0.1)	15.91% ( -0.06)	11.01% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.56% (

0.16)

33.44% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.77% (

0.18)

55.23% (

-0.18)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.1% (

0.06)

7.9% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.04% (

0.15)

27.96% (

-0.15)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

0.03)

41.07% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

0.03)

77.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 73.07%

Western United 11.01%

Draw 15.91%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 73.07%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.91%	1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.01%