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Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 24, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western United

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Western Utd

Behich (20')
Behich (72'), Leckie (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Botic (66')
Garuccio (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Melbourne City
Friday, May 16 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
73.07% (0.10299999999999 0.1)15.91% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)11.01% (-0.045 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.56% (0.16 0.16)33.44% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.77% (0.181 0.18)55.23% (-0.179 -0.18)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)7.9% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.04% (0.152 0.15)27.96% (-0.15 -0.15)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.93% (0.032000000000004 0.03)41.07% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.028000000000002 0.03)77.62% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 73.07%
    Western United 11.01%
    Draw 15.91%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.61% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.91%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.01%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Utd

Melbourne City
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Western United
10.0%
10
Head to Head
May 16, 2025 10.35am
Western Utd
0-3
Melbourne City

Ruhs (12'), Bozinovski (28'), Thurgate (86')
Ferreyra (16'), Cohen (54'), Leckie (72')
Schreiber (58'), Ferreyra (82'), Ugarkovic (89')
Jan 7, 2025 7am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
2-0
Western Utd
Politidis (32'), Mazzeo (59')
Schreiber (-5'), Ugarkovic (41'), Schreiber (63'), Souprayen (84'), Dunbar (90'), Dunbar (90')

Thurgate (41'), Bozinovski (90')
Nov 4, 2024 8am
Gameweek 3
Western Utd
0-1
Melbourne City

Walatee (77'), Aloisi (87')
Nabbout (49')
Schreiber (62'), Atkinson (66')
Apr 28, 2024 8am
Gameweek 26
Melbourne City
1-0
Western Utd
MacLaren (19')
Leckie (28')

Donachie (66')
Jan 7, 2024 6am
Gameweek 11
Western Utd
1-2
Melbourne City
Ruhs (13')
Lustica (50'), Thurgate (82')
Sakhi (52'), Antonis (83')