Australian A-League
May 24, 2025 7.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Felipe Gallegos 41' yellowcard
  • Alex Paulsen 44' yellowcard
  • Nando Pijnaker 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 20'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 46'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 55'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 60'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 65'

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 17, 2025 10.35am
Victory 0 - 1 Auckland FC
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Guillermo May

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 17, 2025 10.35am
Victory 0 - 1 Auckland FC
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Auckland FC 44.38% (-1.26)
Draw 23.51% (+0.33)
Melbourne Victory 32.11% (+0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.98% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.34% (-1.14)
Under 2.5 39.66% (+1.14)
Over 3.5 37.99% (-1.20)
Under 3.5 62.01% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 20.55% (-0.94)
Under 4.5 79.45% (+0.94)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 18.21% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 50.77% (-1.65)
Under 1.5 49.23% (+1.65)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 75.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.21% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.55% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Auckland FC 44.38%
Draw 23.51%
Melbourne Victory 32.11%
Auckland FC
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.51% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 44.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.41% (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.51%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 6.25% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 4.44% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.57% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
May 17, 2025 10.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Lachlan Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 60'
  • goal Logan Rogerson 64'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Apr 19, 2025 8.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • goal Louis Verstraete 53'
  • yellowcard Callan Elliot 59'
  • yellowcard Hiroki Sakai 79'
  • goal Guillermo May 89'
  • yellowcard Marlee Francois 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 1, 2025 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mount Smart Stadium
  • Louis Verstraete 66' yellowcard