Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.