Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
Oct 31, 2026 4.00am
McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington

Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 5.00am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Patrick Wood

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 2.00am
Wellington 2 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Corban Piper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 27.29% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.68%) and 3-1 (6.1%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.57%).

Result

Newcastle Jets 50.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 21.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Wellington Phoenix 27.29% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.09% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.88% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 15.12% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 65.99% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 34.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 3.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 4.5 27.56% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 4.5 72.44% ▲ (+0.77)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 42.4% ▲ (+1.86)
Draw 35.26% ▼ (-1.90)
Wellington Phoenix 22.33% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 56.11% ▲ (+0.89)
No Goal 3.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Wellington Phoenix 40.28% ▼ (-0.80)

Corners

Over 8 73.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 8.72% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 8 18.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 63.18% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 9 10.07% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 9 26.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 52.49% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 10.5 47.51% ▲ (+0.61)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 55.86% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 44.14% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 30.97% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 69.03% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 14.01% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 3.5 85.99% ▲ (+0.46)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 34.36% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 35.47% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 64.53% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 14.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.81% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.19% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 50.93%
Draw 21.8%
Wellington Phoenix 27.29%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.29)
1-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 13.49% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 50.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.8%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.37)
0-1 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 27.29%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
Jan 23, 2026 8.35am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Lachlan Bayliss 1' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 56' goal
  • Eli Adams 70' goal
  • Xavier Bertoncello 71' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 71' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 73' yellowcard
  • 73' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 80' yellowcard
  • Lucas Scicluna 80' yellowcard
  • L. Scicluna 80' yellowcard
  • Xavier Bertoncello 89' goal
  • Alex Nunes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Mileusnic 71'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 71'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 71'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard N. Mileusnić 71'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 72'
  • yellowcard Bill Tuiloma 72'
  • yellowcard Luke Brooke-Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Sander Kartum 82'
  • goal Sander Kartum 86'
Australian A-League
Wellington
Dec 14, 2025 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle Jets
  • Eze Kelvin 69' goal
  • goal Eli Adams 50'
  • goal Lachlan Rose 54'
  • goal Clayton Taylor 57'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
Apr 6, 2025 8.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Josh Oluwayemi 65' goal
  • Kota Mizunuma 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 34'
  • goal Kazuki Nagasawa 41'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 54'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Wellington
Dec 28, 2024 4.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Newcastle Jets
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 3' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • Paulo Retre 59' goal
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
  • goal Ben Gibson 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Alex Paulsen 15' goal
  • Callum Timmins 17' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 65' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 66' yellowcard
  • Dane Ingham 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wootton 68'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 71'
Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Newcastle Jets
Jan 27, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 23' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Mark Natta 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • Trent Buhagiar 80' goal
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • goal Alex Rufer 5'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Al-Taay 43'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 85'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'
  • goal Oskar Zawada 87'

Form Data

Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Macarthur
Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka
Kashima Antlers 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Wellington 2 - 0 Central Coast
Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington
Wellington 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington