Australian A-League

May 31, 2025 at 10.40am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Victory

Cohen (10')
Cohen (33'), Ferreyra (63'), Leckie (79'), Tilio (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rawlins (73'), Inserra (78'), Teague (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Western Utd
Saturday, May 24 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, May 24 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
62.1%	20.53%	17.38%

Both teams to score 55.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13%

40.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74%

63.26%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37%

12.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24%

38.76%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08%

36.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29%

73.71%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 62.1%

Melbourne Victory 17.38%

Draw 20.53%

Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.1%	1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.96% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 4.79% 0-1 @ 4.65% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.38%