Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Haka had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.