Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Oulu win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.