Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.