Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.