Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 59.43%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.