Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.