Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Toolon Pallokentta

Gnistan
1 - 1
Ilves

Heiskanen (62')
Ojala (57'), Aijala (71'), Raitala (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akinyemi (78')
Jukkola (26'), Pikkarainen (38'), Arifi (43'), Atanga (82')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: SJK 0-1 Gnistan
Monday, August 26 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 5-0 EIF
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
GnistanDrawIlves
40.94% (0.344 0.34)23.81% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)35.26% (-0.279 -0.28)
Both teams to score 61.93% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.245 0.25)40.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (0.253 0.25)62.52% (-0.247 -0.25)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.26000000000001 0.26)19.9% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.416 0.42)52.02% (-0.41 -0.41)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)22.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)56.33% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Gnistan 40.94%
    Ilves 35.26%
    Draw 23.81%
GnistanDrawIlves
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 2
Ilves
4-6
Gnistan
Riski (36', 81'), Jukkola (40'), Arifi (66')
Popovits (23'), Miettunen (78'), Ala-Myllymaki (83')
Latonen (60', 73', 79'), Katajamaki (68'), Tatar (85', 90+5')
Penninkangas (5'), Aijala (52'), Kabashi (74'), Tatar (86')