Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Toolon Pallokentta

Gnistan
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Heiskanen (47'), Latonen (85')
Pettersson (45'), Kabashi (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fonsell (7')
Cardoso (36'), Auvinen (90+3')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: Gnistan 2-0 Oulu
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-0 Lahti
Sunday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.

Result
GnistanDrawIFK Mariehamn
46.77% (4.045 4.05)24.99% (-0.33 -0.33)28.24% (-3.714 -3.71)
Both teams to score 54.57% (-0.962 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-0.325 -0.32)48.39% (0.326 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (-0.299 -0.3)70.53% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (1.701 1.7)20.73% (-1.7 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65% (2.608 2.61)53.35% (-2.607 -2.61)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-2.748 -2.75)31.16% (2.749 2.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-3.33 -3.33)67.49% (3.33 3.33)
Score Analysis
    Gnistan 46.76%
    IFK Mariehamn 28.24%
    Draw 24.99%
GnistanDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.636 0.64)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.367 0.37)
2-0 @ 8% (0.878 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.428 0.43)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.648 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.256 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.76%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.488 -0.49)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.632 -0.63)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.655 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.41 -0.41)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.24%

How you voted: Gnistan vs Mariehamn

Gnistan
68.2%
Draw
22.7%
IFK Mariehamn
9.1%
22
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Mariehamn
1-1
Gnistan
Dahlstrom (16')
Tehe Olawale (21'), Fonsell (90')
Tatar (26')
Sarr (4'), Olander (50'), Tatar (55'), Ojala (67')
Oct 29, 2023 1pm
Final 2nd Leg
Mariehamn
3-0
Gnistan
Tehe Olawale (40'), Hopcutt (72'), Ngamba (90+1')
Lahti (49')

Medo (48'), Woivalin (51'), Kabashi (54')
Kabashi (90+4')
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
Final 1st Leg
Gnistan
0-0
Mariehamn
Woivalin (34'), Ala-Iso (53'), Linnas (59')
rhs 2.0


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