Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Oliver Pettersson 45' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 47' goal
  • Armend Kabashi 59' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 85' goal
  • goal Michael Fonsell 7'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 90'+3'

Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
Gnistan 2 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Joakim Latonen

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm
Mariehamn 0 - 0 Lahti
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.

Result

Gnistan 46.77% (+4.05)
Draw 24.99% (-0.34)
IFK Mariehamn 28.24% (-3.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.57% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.61% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 48.39% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 29.47% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 70.53% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 14.31% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 85.69% (+0.21)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 79.27% (+1.71)
Under 0.5 20.73% (-1.70)
Over 1.5 46.65% (+2.61)
Under 1.5 53.35% (-2.61)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 68.84% (-2.75)
Under 0.5 31.16% (+2.75)
Over 1.5 32.51% (-3.33)
Under 1.5 67.49% (+3.33)

Score analysis

Gnistan 46.76%
Draw 24.99%
IFK Mariehamn 28.24%
Gnistan
1-0 @ 10.16% (+0.64)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.37)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.88)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.43)
3-0 @ 4.19% (+0.65)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.92% (+0.26)
4-0 @ 1.65% (+0.33)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 6.46% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.99%
IFK Mariehamn
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.49)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.64)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.66)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.48)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.41)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.24%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 29, 2023 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 40' goal
  • Timi Lahti 49' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hopcutt 72' goal
  • Alvaro Ngamba 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Medo 48'
  • yellowcard Hannes Woivalin 51'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 54'
  • redcard Armend Kabashi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Hannes Woivalin 34' yellowcard
  • Sampo Ala-Iso 53' yellowcard
  • Otso Linnas 59' yellowcard