Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.