Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ekenas IF win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ekenas IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Lahti win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.