Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.