Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.