Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
May 30, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 40' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 48' goal
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard L. Andersson 20'
  • yellowcard N. Nurmi 28'
  • yellowcard E. Patut 63'
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 90'+7'

HJK Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 22, 2026 5.00pm
VPS 2 - 1 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
Jaro 3 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 76.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.02% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.43%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

HJK Helsinki 76.9% (+1.08)
Draw 14.02% (-0.49)
IFK Mariehamn 9.08% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.88% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 14.12% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 67.42% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 32.58% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 43.38% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 56.62% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 31.57% (+0.74)
Under 4.5 68.43% (-0.73)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 61.27% (+1.42)
Draw 26.52% (-0.75)
IFK Mariehamn 12.2% (-0.67)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 74.96% (+0.67)
No Goal 2.87% (-0.13)
IFK Mariehamn 22.17% (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 64.46% (+0.57)
Equal 8 10.3% (-0.04)
Under 8 25.24% (-0.54)
Over 9 53.39% (+0.55)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.54% (-0.58)
Over 10.5 42.47% (+0.50)
Under 10.5 57.53% (-0.50)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 73.45% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 26.55% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 47.53% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 52.47% (-1.06)
Over 3.5 25.44% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 74.56% (-0.93)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 41.85% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 58.15% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 14.77% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 85.23% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 3.56% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 96.44% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 0.83% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 99.17% (+0.13)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 76.9%
Draw 14.02%
IFK Mariehamn 9.07%
HJK Helsinki
2-0 @ 10.96% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 10.43% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 10.13% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.49%
3-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 25.41% (+0.95)
Total : 76.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.69% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 14.02%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 2.47% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.8% (-0.10)
Total : 9.07%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 24, 2025 1.00pm
8
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 21
Aug 24, 2025 1.00pm
Bolt Arena
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 66' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 31'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 42'
  • yellowcard Santeri Hostikka 49'
  • goal Alexander Ring 53'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 76'
  • goal Giorgos Antzoulas 87'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Pedro Machado 18' yellowcard
  • Adam Larsson 28' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 43' yellowcard
  • goal Topi Keskinen 6' (OG)
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 46'
  • goal Aapo Halme 64'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • 11' goal
  • Joona Toivio 11' goal
  • Anthony Olusanya 17' yellowcard
  • Lucas Lingman 61' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 66' goal
  • Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Patut 49'
  • goal Adam Larsson 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 5, 2023 1.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Anthony Olusanya 9' goal
  • Santeri Hostikka 19' goal
  • Filip Rogic 23' yellowcard
  • Aapo Halme 34' yellowcard
  • Santeri Hostikka 77' goal
  • Pyry Soiri 90' goal
  • Pyry Soiri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ariel Ngueukam 35'
  • goal Jelle van der Heyden 84'
  • yellowcard Jean-Christophe Coubronne 90'+1'