Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • V. Vuorinen 7' goal
  • Aron Bjonbäck 16' yellowcard
  • Aron Bjonbäck 17' yellowcard
  • Herman Sjögrell 18' goal
  • Adam Vidjeskog 70' yellowcard
  • Joas Vikström 90' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 90' yellowcard
  • Rudi Vikström 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Pearce 46'
  • yellowcard J. Nissinen 46'
  • yellowcard A. Lundberg 71'
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 71'

Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 20, 2026 5.00pm
KuPS 3 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.00pm
Mariehamn 1 - 1 KuPS
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jaro win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Jaro 46.91% (+0.01)
Draw 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn 28.83% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.04%
Under 2.5 43.96%
Over 3.5 34.15%
Under 3.5 65.85%
Over 4.5 19.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.32% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Jaro 36.35%
Draw 39.36% (-0.01)
IFK Mariehamn 24.29% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Jaro 53.2%
No Goal 5.44% (+0.02)
IFK Mariehamn 41.36% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.39%
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 29.12%
Over 9 47.54%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 40.61%
Over 10.5 36.35%
Under 10.5 63.65%

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 47.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.03% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.26%
Under 2.5 77.74%
Over 3.5 8.37%
Under 3.5 91.63%

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 65.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.02% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Jaro 46.91%
Draw 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn 28.83%
Jaro
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 8.3%
Total : 46.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.01% (-0.01)
Total : 28.83%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 28, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 6, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Hugo Cardoso 42' yellowcard
  • Korede Adedoyin 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 6'
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 55'
  • yellowcard Sergei Eremenko 67'