Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 20, 2026 5.00pm
KuPS 3 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Luca Weckström

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 16, 2026 3.00pm
Mariehamn 1 - 1 KuPS
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jaro win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 28.83% and a draw has a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win is 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Jaro 46.91% (+0.01)
Draw 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn 28.83% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.04%
Under 2.5 43.96%
Over 3.5 34.15%
Under 3.5 65.85%
Over 4.5 19.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.32% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Jaro 36.35%
Draw 39.36% (-0.01)
IFK Mariehamn 24.29% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Jaro 53.2%
No Goal 5.44% (+0.02)
IFK Mariehamn 41.36% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.39%
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 29.12%
Over 9 47.54%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 40.61%
Over 10.5 36.35%
Under 10.5 63.65%

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 47.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.03% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.26%
Under 2.5 77.74%
Over 3.5 8.37%
Under 3.5 91.63%

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 65.98% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.02% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.08% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Jaro 46.91%
Draw 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn 28.83%
Jaro
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 8.3%
Total : 46.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.26%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.01% (-0.01)
Total : 28.83%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 28, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 6, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Hugo Cardoso 42' yellowcard
  • Korede Adedoyin 56' yellowcard
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 6'
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 55'
  • yellowcard Sergei Eremenko 67'