Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs Jaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
VPS 1 - 1 Gnistan
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Luca Weckström

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jaro win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 32.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Gnistan 32.43% (+1.61)
Draw 24.92% (+0.70)
Jaro 42.65% (-2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.85% (+3.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.32% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 20.68% (-1.06)
Over 2.5 57.02% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 34.17% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 65.83% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 20.39% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 79.61% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 26.81% (+0.78)
Draw 36.61% (+1.84)
Jaro 36.58% (-2.63)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 43.19% (+2.58)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.25)
Jaro 51.19% (-2.34)

Corners

Over 8 66.47% (+1.75)
Equal 8 10.44% (-0.42)
Under 8 23.08% (-1.36)
Over 9 55.08% (+2.06)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.31)
Under 9 33.53% (-1.75)
Over 10.5 43.71% (+2.19)
Under 10.5 56.29% (-2.19)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 36.06% (+2.29)
Under 1.5 63.94% (-2.29)
Over 2.5 14.7% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 85.3% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.61)

Jaro Goals

Over 0.5 75.85% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 24.15% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 45.53% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 54.47% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 21.28% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 78.72% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 8.77% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 91.23% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Gnistan 32.43%
Draw 24.92%
Jaro 42.67%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.60)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 4.75% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 2.36% (+0.22)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.53)
Total : 32.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.32)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.08)
Total : 24.92%
Jaro
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.62)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.53)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.43)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.55% (-0.50)
Total : 42.67%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Kerfala Cissoko 1' goal
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 30'
  • goal Didrik Hafstad 42'
  • yellowcard Joakim Latonen 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Onni Vilho Europaeus 75'