Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 43' goal
  • Michael Ogungbaro 49' goal
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 54' goal
  • P. Gnanou 61' goal
  • Danny Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Sergey Eremenko 67' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 71' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 71' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rudi Vikström 19'
  • yellowcard Oliver Isak Ferial Kass Kawo 55'
  • yellowcard Joas Vikström 55'
  • yellowcard Oliver Isak Ferial Kass Kawo 56'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Aron Bjonbäck 70'

Gnistan vs Jaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 9, 2026 3.00pm
VPS 1 - 1 Gnistan
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jaro win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Gnistan 32.43% (+1.61)
Draw 24.92% (+0.70)
Jaro 42.65% (-2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.85% (+3.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.32% (+1.06)
Under 1.5 20.68% (-1.06)
Over 2.5 57.02% (+0.96)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 34.17% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 65.83% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 20.39% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 79.61% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 26.81% (+0.78)
Draw 36.61% (+1.84)
Jaro 36.58% (-2.63)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 43.19% (+2.58)
No Goal 5.62% (-0.25)
Jaro 51.19% (-2.34)

Corners

Over 8 66.47% (+1.75)
Equal 8 10.44% (-0.42)
Under 8 23.08% (-1.36)
Over 9 55.08% (+2.06)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.31)
Under 9 33.53% (-1.75)
Over 10.5 43.71% (+2.19)
Under 10.5 56.29% (-2.19)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 36.06% (+2.29)
Under 1.5 63.94% (-2.29)
Over 2.5 14.7% (+1.40)
Under 2.5 85.3% (-1.41)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.61)

Jaro Goals

Over 0.5 75.85% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 24.15% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 45.53% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 54.47% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 21.28% (-0.83)
Under 2.5 78.72% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 8.77% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 91.23% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Gnistan 32.43%
Draw 24.92%
Jaro 42.67%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.60)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 4.75% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 2.36% (+0.22)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.53)
Total : 32.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (+0.43)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.32)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.08)
Total : 24.92%
Jaro
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.62)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.53)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.43)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.55% (-0.50)
Total : 42.67%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Kerfala Cissoko 1' goal
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 30'
  • goal Didrik Hafstad 42'
  • yellowcard Joakim Latonen 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Onni Vilho Europaeus 75'