Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Luke Ivanovic 56' yellowcard
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Luke Ivanovic 74' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 74' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 74' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 75' yellowcard
  • Lasse Ikonen 75' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 75' yellowcard
  • S. Anini 89' yellowcard
  • S. Anini 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard J. Ojala 30'
  • yellowcard Adeleke Akinyemi 55'
  • yellowcard Adeleke Akinyemi 56'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 70'
  • yellowcard Sergey Eremenko 76'
  • yellowcard Max Herman Bjurstrom 76'

TPS vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 2 - 0 SJK
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.00pm
Gnistan 0 - 3 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

TPS 51.13% (-0.01)
Draw 22.88% (-0.02)
Gnistan 25.99% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.94% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.77% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.23% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.94%
Under 2.5 39.06%
Over 3.5 38.87% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 61.13% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 24.04% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.96% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

TPS 39.12% (-0.04)
Draw 37.57% (+0.05)
Gnistan 23.31% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

TPS 55.58% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.58%
Gnistan 39.84% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.4% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 27.46%
Over 9 49.7%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 38.6% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 38.47% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.53% (-0.01)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 53.61% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.39% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 27.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.79% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.21% (+0.04)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 63.82% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.18% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.63% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.37% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.19% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.81% (-0.01)

Score analysis

TPS 51.13%
Draw 22.88%
Gnistan 26%
TPS
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4%
Other @ 11.64% (-0.04)
Total : 51.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.88%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 4.04% (+0.01)
Total : 26%