Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Sergey Eremenko 10' goal
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 56' yellowcard
  • Otto Hannula 57' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 70' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 70' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 71' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Tuomas Kaukua 17'
  • goal Julius Körkkö 35'
  • goal Rasmus Karjalainen 53'
  • goal Rasmus Karjalainen 69'
  • yellowcard Santeri Silander 72'
  • goal Julius Körkkö 81'
  • yellowcard Juuso Mäkeläinen 82'
  • yellowcard Sami Sipola 90'
  • yellowcard Alex Lietsa 90'
  • yellowcard Sami Sipola 90'+1'

Gnistan vs Oulu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Nov 9, 2025 1.00pm
SJK 3 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
Mariehamn 2 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Gnistan 33.85% (+1.01)
Draw 24.46% (+0.18)
Oulu 41.69% (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.83% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.97% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.03% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.03% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 39.97% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 37.47% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 62.53% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 22.58% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 77.42% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 26.07% (-0.45)
Draw 37.87% (-0.14)
Oulu 36.06% (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 42.45% (+0.16)
No Goal 5.2% (+0.05)
Oulu 52.35% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 61.23% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.13% (+0.30)
Under 8 27.64% (-0.18)
Over 9 49.59% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.30)
Under 9 38.77% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 38.42% (-0.65)
Under 10.5 61.58% (+0.65)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 39.18% (+1.11)
Under 1.5 60.82% (-1.11)
Over 2.5 17% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 83% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 5.94% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.06% (-0.21)

Oulu Goals

Over 0.5 75.51% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 24.49% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 46.01% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 53.99% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 21.93% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 78.07% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 8.69% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 91.31% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Gnistan 33.85%
Draw 24.47%
Oulu 41.68%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.19)
1-0 @ 6.53% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.57% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.67% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.52% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.67% (+0.29)
Total : 33.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.08)
Total : 24.47%
Oulu
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.38)
1-3 @ 4.72%
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.35% (+0.10)
Other @ 8.42% (-0.39)
Total : 41.68%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 25, 2025 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 10, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Miika Koskela 47' goal
  • Tuomas Kaukua 50' goal
  • Justin Rennicks 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tim Vayrynen 34'
  • yellowcard Saku Heiskanen 43'
  • goal Edmund Arko-Mensah 58'
  • goal Edmund Arko-Mensah 65'
  • goal Didrik Hafstad 87'
  • redcard Edmund Arko-Mensah 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Teemu Penninkangas 16' yellowcard
  • Jonas Enkerud 53' goal
  • Elias Aijala 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Metaxas 41'
  • yellowcard Leon Bergsma 90'+1'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 9' goal
  • Tim Vayrynen 43' goal
  • Tomas Castro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Metaxas 15'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Raatin stadion
  • Ashley Coffey 40' goal
  • Liiban Abdirahman Abadid 48' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Metaxas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonas Enkerud 32'
  • yellowcard Teemu Penninkangas 39'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 48'
  • yellowcard Saku Heiskanen 57'
  • yellowcard Jussi Leppalahti 81'