Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.