Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PK-35 win with a probability of 45%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a PK-35 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.