Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 12.45pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions

Gnistan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 62.35%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 19.46% and a draw has a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 1-2 (4.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.39%).

Result

Ilves 62.35%
Draw 18.19%
Gnistan 19.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

66.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 88.62%
Under 1.5 11.38%
Over 2.5 72.62%
Under 2.5 27.38%
Over 3.5 52.35%
Under 3.5 47.65%
Over 4.5 36.72%
Under 4.5 63.28%

First Half Winner

Ilves 49.07%
Draw 29.48%
Gnistan 21.45%

Team To Score First

Ilves 63.03%
No Goal 2.56%
Gnistan 34.41%

Corners

Over 8 70.6%
Equal 8 9.66%
Under 8 19.75%
Over 9 59.66%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 29.41%
Over 10.5 48.34%
Under 10.5 51.66%

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 67.4%
Under 1.5 32.6%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%
Over 3.5 23.73%
Under 3.5 76.27%

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 56.16%
Under 0.5 43.84%
Over 1.5 29.23%
Under 1.5 70.77%
Over 2.5 11.85%
Under 2.5 88.15%
Over 3.5 4.06%
Under 3.5 95.94%

Score analysis

Ilves 62.35%
Draw 18.18%
Gnistan 19.45%
Ilves
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-0 @ 5.69%
1-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 23.39%
Total : 62.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 2.56%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.18%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-1 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 23, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 4, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 82'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 87'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Juhani Ojala 57' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 62' goal
  • Elias Aijala 71' yellowcard
  • Jukka Raitala 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oiva Jukkola 26'
  • yellowcard Juhani Pikkarainen 38'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 43'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 78'
  • yellowcard Isaac Atanga 82'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Apr 13, 2024 12.00pm
4
6
HT : 2 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Anton Popovits 23' yellowcard
  • Roope Riski 36' goal
  • Oiva Jukkola 40' goal
  • Doni Arifi 66' goal
  • Tatu Miettunen 78' yellowcard
  • Roope Riski 81' goal
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teemu Penninkangas 5'
  • yellowcard Elias Aijala 52'
  • goal Joakim Latonen 60'
  • goal Pauli Katajamaki 68'
  • goal Joakim Latonen 73'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 74'
  • goal Joakim Latonen 79'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 85'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 86'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 90'+5'