Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.46%) and 1-3 (5.41%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.